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Shelby County, Missouri

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Very Low overall risk
106th of 115highest risk in Missouri
$7Mexpected losses a year
25federal declarations
Photo: U.S. Geological Survey, public domain

Shelby County, Missouri has a very low overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is lower than 84% of US counties. It ranks 106th of 115 counties in Missouri. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, heat waves and lightning. FEMA estimates about $6.6 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $1,089 per resident. Since 1973 it has been included in 25 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (20 major disasters). The most recent was in August 2026 (severe storms, straight-line winds, tornadoes and flooding). Only 1 home here carries federal flood insurance.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Shelby County

$1.9 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once a year.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.

Heat wave

Moderate
$1.6 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 9 times a year.
  • Check that cooling works before summer.
  • Know where the nearest cooling center is.
$1 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 47 times a year.
  • Go indoors when you hear thunder.
  • Use surge protectors for electronics.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
Inland floodingVery Low14.6
$2M
Heat waveModerate79.8
$2M
LightningHigh86.0
$1M
TornadoLow37.2
$806K
Cold waveLow25.7
$361K
DroughtLow60.9
$319K
Strong windLow24.7
$249K
HailLow36.2
$164K
EarthquakeVery Low39.5
$158K
Winter weatherLow26.5
$27K
Ice stormVery Low14.0
$9K
WildfireVery Low20.8
$8K
HurricaneVery Low14.1
$4K
LandslideVery Low37.1
$571

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is relatively low and community resilience is relatively high in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Shelby County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Severe Storm16
Flood3
Severe Ice Storm3
Tornado1
Drought1
Hurricane1

Most recent

Aug 3, 2026Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
Sep 21, 2023Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
Jul 9, 2019Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
Aug 7, 2015Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingMajor disaster
Oct 31, 2014Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingMajor disaster
Jul 18, 2013Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
Mar 23, 2011Severe Winter Storm and SnowstormMajor disaster
Feb 3, 2011Severe Winter StormEmergency
Aug 17, 2010Severe Storms, Flooding, and TornadoesMajor disaster
Jun 19, 2009Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
Show all 25
Jan 30, 2009Severe Winter StormEmergency
Nov 13, 2008Severe Storms, Flooding, and A TornadoMajor disaster
Jun 25, 2008Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Dec 12, 2007Severe Winter StormsEmergency
Sep 10, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
Jun 11, 2004Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
May 6, 2003Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
May 6, 2002Severe Storms, Tornadoes and FloodingMajor disaster
Feb 6, 2002Severe Winter Ice StormMajor disaster
Jul 9, 1993Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Oct 14, 1986Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Sep 24, 1976DroughtEmergency
May 3, 1975Tornadoes, High Winds & HailMajor disaster
Nov 1, 1973Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Apr 19, 1973Heavy Rains, Tornadoes & FloodingMajor disaster

Missouri also had 5 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1950

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 193 storm reports in Shelby County since 1950, with 2 deaths and 4 injuries and about $3 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F4 tornado on April 23, 1975.

21tornadoes
60hail reports, largest 1.75 inches
82damaging thunderstorm winds
25floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
Apr 23, 1975F4–0 / 0
Apr 13, 1974F3–0 / 0
Jun 12, 1970F2–0 / 0
Aug 9, 2025EF1Leonard0 / 0
Aug 9, 2025EF1Leonard0 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
Apr 23, 1975Tornado–$3M
Aug 9, 2025TornadoLeonard$105K
Jun 3, 2008LightningShelbyville$100K
Aug 9, 2025TornadoLeonard$90K
Jun 4, 2001LightningClarence$50K
Jun 3, 1962Tornado–$25K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Jun 11, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Flood insurance in Shelby County

Check your address flood zone ›
0%of homes have federal flood insurance (1 policies)
3.6%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$80,573paid on 2 flood claims since 1978
2008costliest year, with $62,908 paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Shelby County

$99,900median home value (Missouri $230,300, US $332,700)
1971median year homes were built (Missouri 1978, US 1980)
65%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
12.1%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 2,950 housing units.

Compare in Missouri

All 115 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
St. Louis CountyHighHeat wave
Jackson CountyHighInland flooding
St. Charles CountyModerateInland flooding
St. Louis CityHighHeat wave
Greene CountyModerateInland flooding
Clay CountyModerateInland flooding
Jefferson CountyModerateInland flooding
Boone CountyModerateInland flooding

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Marion CountyLow23
Macon CountyVery Low21
Lewis CountyVery Low25
Monroe CountyVery Low17
Knox CountyVery Low24

Common questions about Shelby County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Shelby County?

Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Shelby County, about $1.9 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Heat wave is second at $1.6 million.

How many federal disasters has Shelby County had?

Shelby County has been included in 25 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1973, including 20 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding in August 2026.

Is Shelby County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Very Low, 106th highest of 115 in Missouri. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Shelby County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Shelby County had?

NOAA records list 21 tornadoes in Shelby County since 1950. The strongest was an F4 tornado on April 23, 1975. The weather service has also logged 60 hail reports and 25 floods here.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.