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Bay County, Michigan

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Relatively Low overall risk
14th of 83highest risk in Michigan
$38Mexpected losses a year
12federal declarations
1 in 111homes with flood insurance
Photo: U.S. Geological Survey, public domain

Bay County, Michigan has a relatively low overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is higher than 78% of US counties. It ranks 14th of 83 counties in Michigan. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, cold waves and tornadoes. FEMA estimates about $38 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $368 per resident. Since 1965 it has been included in 12 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (9 major disasters). The most recent was in August 2017 (severe storms and flooding). Fewer than 1 in 100 homes here carry federal flood insurance (377 policies). Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $2.5 million on 515 claims here, including $815,000 for floods in 1986.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Bay County

$20.9 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 1 years.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.
$6.9 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 3 times a year.
  • Insulate pipes in outside walls, crawl spaces and garages.
  • Know how to shut off the main water valve.

Tornado

Moderate
$4.9 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 5 years.
  • Pick a shelter spot: a basement, or an inside room on the lowest floor with no windows.
  • Turn on emergency alerts on your phone and keep a weather radio.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
Inland floodingModerate81.5
$21M
Cold waveHigh89.9
$7M
TornadoModerate84.0
$5M
Strong windHigh94.4
$3M
HailModerate83.7
$1M
Winter weatherHigh94.7
$626K
Heat waveLow53.6
$435K
LightningModerate57.0
$297K
EarthquakeVery Low42.1
$169K
Ice stormModerate62.6
$148K
Coastal floodingLow45.8
$51K
HurricaneVery Low42.1
$35K
WildfireVery Low14.7
$5K
LandslideVery Low14.9
$60

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is relatively moderate and community resilience is very high in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Bay County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Flood4
Severe Storm4
Snowstorm2
Tornado1
Hurricane1

Most recent

Aug 2, 2017Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Sep 7, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
Jan 10, 2001SnowEmergency
Jun 24, 1998Severe StormsMajor disaster
Jul 23, 1996Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Sep 18, 1986Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Sep 18, 1985Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Jan 27, 1978Blizzards & SnowstormsEmergency
Mar 19, 1976Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Icing & FloodingMajor disaster
Apr 12, 1973Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Show all 12
Dec 1, 1972Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Apr 14, 1965Tornadoes & Severe StormsMajor disaster

Michigan also had 6 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1957

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 294 storm reports in Bay County since 1957, with 2 deaths and 11 injuries and about $35.7 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F3 tornado on June 12, 1984.

14tornadoes
99hail reports, largest 3 inches
164damaging thunderstorm winds
11floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
Jun 12, 1984F3–2 / 0
Apr 11, 1965F2–2 / 0
Jun 22, 1957F2–0 / 0
Jul 31, 1973F2–0 / 0
May 31, 2011EF1Beaver0 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
Jul 27, 2014HailBangor Township$3M
Jun 22, 2017Flash FloodMt Forest$3M
Jun 12, 1984Tornado–$3M
Jun 21, 1996Flash FloodSrn 1/2 of Co.$2M
Jul 27, 2014HailKawkawlin$2M
Jul 27, 2014HailWillard$2M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Jun 25, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

Hurricane risk by county ›

Since 1955, 0 hurricanes and 1 tropical storm have passed within 65 miles of the center of Bay County, 1 of them since 1950. The strongest was Tropical Storm Connie (1955), with top winds near 45 mph about 63 miles away.

0hurricanes
0major hurricanes (Category 3+)
1tropical storms
1955most recent: Connie

Strongest storms nearby

DateStormStrengthClosest
Aug 14, 1955ConnieTropical storm, 45 mph63 mi

Most recent storms

DateStormStrengthClosest
Aug 14, 1955ConnieTropical storm, 45 mph63 mi

Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.

Flood insurance in Bay County

Check your address flood zone ›
0.9%of homes have federal flood insurance (377 policies)
8.1%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$2.5 millionpaid on 515 flood claims since 1978
1986costliest year, with $815,301 paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Bay County

$152,200median home value (Michigan $231,600, US $332,700)
1963median year homes were built (Michigan 1972, US 1980)
75%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
4.6%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 48,659 housing units.

Compare in Michigan

All 83 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Wayne CountyHighInland flooding
Oakland CountyHighInland flooding
Macomb CountyHighInland flooding
Kent CountyModerateInland flooding
Genesee CountyModerateInland flooding
Washtenaw CountyModerateInland flooding
Ottawa CountyModerateInland flooding
Ingham CountyModerateInland flooding

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Saginaw CountyModerate16
Midland CountyLow12
Tuscola CountyLow10
Huron CountyLow6
Gladwin CountyVery Low10
Arenac CountyVery Low9

Cities in Bay County

Common questions about Bay County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Bay County?

Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Bay County, about $20.9 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Cold wave is second at $6.9 million.

How many federal disasters has Bay County had?

Bay County has been included in 12 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1965, including 9 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Storms and Flooding in August 2017.

Is Bay County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Relatively Low, 14th highest of 83 in Michigan. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Bay County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 111 homes in Bay County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Bay County had?

NOAA records list 14 tornadoes in Bay County since 1950. The strongest was an F3 tornado on June 12, 1984. The weather service has also logged 99 hail reports and 11 floods here.

How many hurricanes have hit Bay County?

NOAA's hurricane records show 0 hurricanes and 1 tropical storm passing within 65 miles of the center of Bay County. The strongest was Tropical Storm Connie (1955), with winds near 45 mph.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.