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Harlan County, Kentucky

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Relatively Low overall risk
28th of 120highest risk in Kentucky
$18Mexpected losses a year
31federal declarations
1 in 42homes with flood insurance
Photo: U.S. Geological Survey, public domain

Harlan County, Kentucky has a relatively low overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is higher than 66% of US counties. It ranks 28th of 120 counties in Kentucky. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, cold waves and strong wind. FEMA estimates about $18 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $662 per resident. Since 1967 it has been included in 31 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (23 major disasters). The most recent was in January 2026 (severe winter storm). About 1 in 42 homes here carry federal flood insurance (275 policies). Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $2.3 million on 443 claims here, including $1.2 million for floods in 2002.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Harlan County

$13.7 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 2 times a year.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.
$1.2 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once a year.
  • Insulate pipes in outside walls, crawl spaces and garages.
  • Know how to shut off the main water valve.
$1.2 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 5 times a year.
  • Secure outdoor furniture and trash bins before storms.
  • Have trees near the house checked.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
Inland floodingModerate79.9
$14M
Cold waveLow65.4
$1M
Strong windHigh86.9
$1M
TornadoLow39.5
$588K
EarthquakeVery Low56.2
$269K
HailLow47.9
$169K
Heat waveLow39.7
$159K
WildfireLow69.8
$121K
Winter weatherModerate73.3
$109K
LandslideModerate90.5
$42K
LightningVery Low16.4
$40K
HurricaneVery Low42.6
$26K
Ice stormVery Low24.1
$16K
AvalancheLow75.3
$11K

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is relatively high and community resilience is very low in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Harlan County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Severe Storm11
Flood9
Snowstorm4
Fire3
Hurricane1
Severe Ice Storm1

Most recent

Jan 24, 2026Severe Winter StormEmergency
Apr 3, 2025Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and FloodingEmergency
Feb 24, 2025Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, and MudslidesMajor disaster
Feb 16, 2025Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, and LandslidesEmergency
Nov 26, 2024Remnants of Hurricane HeleneMajor disaster
Jul 23, 2024Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Landslides, and MudslidesMajor disaster
May 9, 2023Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, and MudslidesMajor disaster
Jul 29, 2022Severe Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and MudslidesMajor disaster
Apr 23, 2021Severe, Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and MudslidesMajor disaster
Mar 31, 2021Severe Winter Storms, Landslides, and MudslidesMajor disaster
Show all 31
Apr 24, 2020Severe Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and MudslidesMajor disaster
Apr 17, 2019Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, and MudslidesMajor disaster
Apr 12, 2018Severe Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and MudslidesMajor disaster
Nov 20, 2016Southeastern Kentucky Fire ComplexFire management
May 12, 2015Severe Winter Storm, Snowstorm, Flooding, Landslides, and MudslidesMajor disaster
Apr 30, 2015Severe Winter Storms, Snowstorms, Flooding, Landslides, and MudslidesMajor disaster
May 4, 2011Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
Sep 10, 2005Hurricane KatrinaEmergency
Jun 10, 2004Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Flooding, and MudslidesMajor disaster
Jul 2, 2003Severe Storms, Flooding, Mud and Rock Slides, and TornadoesMajor disaster
Apr 4, 2002Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Nov 2, 2001Ky - Southeastern Fire Complex - 11/02/01Fire management
Nov 4, 2000Ky - Southeastern District Fire Complex - 11/03/00Fire management
Jan 13, 1996Blizzard of 96Major disaster
Mar 16, 1994Severe Weather, Freezing Rain, Sleet, SnwMajor disaster
Mar 16, 1993Severe Snowfall & Winter StormEmergency
May 15, 1984High Winds, Tornadoes & FloodingMajor disaster
Apr 6, 1977Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Jun 5, 1970Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Feb 2, 1970Heavy Snowmelt, Rains & FloodingMajor disaster
Mar 27, 1967Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster

Kentucky also had 4 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1968

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 294 storm reports in Harlan County since 1968, with 2 deaths and 3 injuries and about $8.6 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an EF0 tornado on April 3, 2007 near Cawood.

2tornadoes
65hail reports, largest 5 inches
165damaging thunderstorm winds
52floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
Apr 3, 2007EF0Cawood0 / 0
Apr 3, 2007EF0Tway0 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
Feb 6, 2020FloodSand Hill$5M
Apr 17, 2013Flash FloodHarlan$1M
Apr 3, 2007TornadoCawood$700K
Jun 21, 2016Flash FloodBledsoe$505K
Feb 10, 2018FloodCranks$500K
Apr 17, 2013Flash FloodCranks$200K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through May 20, 2025. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

Hurricane risk by county ›

Since 1979, 0 hurricanes and 1 tropical storm have passed within 65 miles of the center of Harlan County, 1 of them since 1950. The strongest was Tropical Storm Frederic (1979), with top winds near 40 mph about 54 miles away.

0hurricanes
0major hurricanes (Category 3+)
1tropical storms
1979most recent: Frederic

Strongest storms nearby

DateStormStrengthClosest
Sep 14, 1979FredericTropical storm, 40 mph54 mi

Most recent storms

DateStormStrengthClosest
Sep 14, 1979FredericTropical storm, 40 mph54 mi

Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.

Flood insurance in Harlan County

Check your address flood zone ›
2.4%of homes have federal flood insurance (275 policies)
10.8%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$2.3 millionpaid on 443 flood claims since 1978
2002costliest year, with $1.2 million paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Harlan County

$73,700median home value (Kentucky $205,600, US $332,700)
1976median year homes were built (Kentucky 1982, US 1980)
57%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
19.3%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 13,036 housing units.

Compare in Kentucky

All 120 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Jefferson CountyHighInland flooding
Fayette CountyModerateInland flooding
Kenton CountyLowInland flooding
Boone CountyLowInland flooding
Warren CountyModerateInland flooding
Hardin CountyLowInland flooding
Daviess CountyModerateInland flooding
Campbell CountyLowInland flooding

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Wise County, VALow17
Perry CountyLow45
Bell CountyLow27
Lee County, VALow18
Letcher CountyLow38
Leslie CountyVery Low37

Common questions about Harlan County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Harlan County?

Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Harlan County, about $13.7 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Cold wave is second at $1.2 million.

How many federal disasters has Harlan County had?

Harlan County has been included in 31 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1967, including 23 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm in January 2026.

Is Harlan County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Relatively Low, 28th highest of 120 in Kentucky. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Harlan County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 42 homes in Harlan County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Harlan County had?

NOAA records list 2 tornadoes in Harlan County since 1950. The strongest was an EF0 tornado on April 3, 2007 near Cawood. The weather service has also logged 65 hail reports and 52 floods here.

How many hurricanes have hit Harlan County?

NOAA's hurricane records show 0 hurricanes and 1 tropical storm passing within 65 miles of the center of Harlan County. The strongest was Tropical Storm Frederic (1979), with winds near 40 mph.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.