Warren County, Kentucky
Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.
Warren County, Kentucky has a moderate overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is higher than 88% of US counties. It ranks 5th of 120 counties in Kentucky. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, hail and tornadoes. FEMA estimates about $80 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $594 per resident. Since 1969 it has been included in 24 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (17 major disasters). The most recent was in January 2026 (severe winter storm). Fewer than 1 in 100 homes here carry federal flood insurance (120 policies). Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $2.4 million on 124 claims here, including $1.0 million for floods in 2025.
FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.
Top risks in Warren County
- Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
- Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.
- Ask about the roof age and any impact-rated shingles.
- Check your home policy for a separate wind and hail deductible.
- Pick a shelter spot: a basement, or an inside room on the lowest floor with no windows.
- Turn on emergency alerts on your phone and keep a weather radio.
All 18 hazards
What the ratings mean ›| Hazard | Rating | Score | Expected loss a year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inland flooding | 87.3 | $32M | ||
| Hail | 99.5 | $23M | ||
| Tornado | 93.1 | $10M | ||
| Earthquake | 90.7 | $6M | ||
| Cold wave | 79.0 | $4M | ||
| Heat wave | 82.2 | $2M | ||
| Strong wind | 78.2 | $1M | ||
| Ice storm | 90.1 | $1M | ||
| Lightning | 75.7 | $658K | ||
| Winter weather | 75.2 | $181K | ||
| Drought | 43.6 | $99K | ||
| Hurricane | 44.2 | $46K | ||
| Wildfire | 18.5 | $7K | ||
| Landslide | 36.4 | $542 |
Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is relatively low and community resilience is relatively high in FEMA's measures.
Federal disaster history
Recent disasters nationwide ›Declarations by decade
Federal declarations for natural events that included Warren County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.
By type
Most recent
Show all 24
Kentucky also had 4 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.
Storm history since 1955
Tornado risk by county ›The National Weather Service has logged 588 storm reports in Warren County since 1955, with 20 deaths and 120 injuries and about $521 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an EF3 tornado on December 11, 2021 near Petros.
Strongest tornadoes
| Date | Strength | Near | Hurt / killed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2021 | EF3 | Petros | 63 / 17 |
| Apr 3, 1974 | F3 | – | 45 / 2 |
| Apr 27, 1971 | F3 | – | 0 / 0 |
| Mar 22, 1991 | F2 | – | 0 / 0 |
| Jan 30, 2013 | EF2 | Oakland | 0 / 0 |
Most damaging storms
| Date | Type | Near | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 1998 | Hail | Bowling Green | $510M |
| Apr 3, 1974 | Tornado | – | $3M |
| Mar 22, 1991 | Tornado | – | $3M |
| May 2, 2010 | Flood | Mt Victor | $750K |
| Nov 15, 2005 | Tornado | Woodburn | $500K |
| Jan 30, 2013 | Tornado | Oakland | $400K |
Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Jul 21, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
Hurricane risk by county ›Since 1888, 0 hurricanes and 2 tropical storms have passed within 65 miles of the center of Warren County, 1 of them since 1950. The strongest was an unnamed storm in 1888, with top winds near 55 mph about 53 miles away.
Strongest storms nearby
| Date | Storm | Strength | Closest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 1888 | Unnamed | Tropical storm, 55 mph | 53 mi |
| Jun 28, 1957 | Audrey | Tropical storm, 40 mph | 56 mi |
Most recent storms
| Date | Storm | Strength | Closest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 1957 | Audrey | Tropical storm, 40 mph | 56 mi |
| Aug 21, 1888 | Unnamed | Tropical storm, 55 mph | 53 mi |
Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.
Flood insurance in Warren County
Check your address flood zone ›National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.
Homes in Warren County
Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 59,868 housing units.
Compare in Kentucky
All 120 ›| Largest counties | Overall risk | Top hazard |
|---|---|---|
| Jefferson County | Inland flooding | |
| Fayette County | Inland flooding | |
| Kenton County | Inland flooding | |
| Boone County | Inland flooding | |
| Warren County | Inland flooding | |
| Hardin County | Inland flooding | |
| Daviess County | Inland flooding | |
| Campbell County | Inland flooding |
Neighboring counties
| County | Overall risk | Declarations |
|---|---|---|
| Barren County | 20 | |
| Logan County | 17 | |
| Allen County | 20 | |
| Simpson County | 18 | |
| Butler County | 28 | |
| Edmonson County | 24 |
Cities in Warren County
Common questions about Warren County
What is the biggest natural hazard in Warren County?
Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Warren County, about $32.3 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Hail is second at $22.6 million.
How many federal disasters has Warren County had?
Warren County has been included in 24 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1969, including 17 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm in January 2026.
Is Warren County a high-risk place to live?
Its overall rating is Relatively Moderate, 5th highest of 120 in Kentucky. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.
Do I need flood insurance in Warren County?
Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 333 homes in Warren County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.
How many tornadoes has Warren County had?
NOAA records list 33 tornadoes in Warren County since 1950. The strongest was an EF3 tornado on December 11, 2021 near Petros. The weather service has also logged 131 hail reports and 97 floods here.
How many hurricanes have hit Warren County?
NOAA's hurricane records show 0 hurricanes and 2 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the center of Warren County. The strongest was an unnamed storm in 1888, with winds near 55 mph.
Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.