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Fairfax, Virginia: natural disaster risk

How exposed Fairfax is to floods, storms and other hazards, from FEMA and NOAA records for Fairfax City.

Very Low overall risk
25,026people
Inland floodingtop hazard
15federal declarations, Fairfax City
0tornadoes in the county since 1950
2hurricanes within 65 miles since 1876
Photo: U.S. Geological Survey, public domain

Fairfax is a city of 25,026 people in Fairfax City, Virginia. FEMA's National Risk Index rates Fairfax City very low for natural hazards overall, lower than most of the US. The costliest hazards there are inland flooding, strong wind and hurricane, with about $4.8 million in expected losses a year across the county. The weather service has logged 59 storm reports in the county since 1984, including 0 tornadoes and 11 floods. NOAA hurricane records show 2 hurricanes and 13 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the county's center. About 1.9% of homes in the county carry federal flood insurance.

Risk figures are for Fairfax City. FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; NOAA Storm Events; US Census Bureau ACS 2020 to 2024. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Fairfax

Full Fairfax City report ›
$2.5 million a year in the county
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.
$397,363 a year in the county
  • Secure outdoor furniture and trash bins before storms.
  • Have trees near the house checked.
$385,034 a year in the county
  • Know your evacuation zone and route before June 1.
  • Ask about roof age, shutters and the separate wind or hurricane deductible on your home policy.

All hazards

HazardRatingA year
Inland floodingVery Low$3M
Strong windLow$397K
HurricaneLow$385K
Heat waveLow$383K
EarthquakeVery Low$372K
TornadoVery Low$359K
LightningLow$211K
HailVery Low$93K
Winter weatherLow$39K
Cold waveVery Low$28K
Ice stormVery Low$13K
WildfireVery Low$671

Homes in Fairfax

Median home value$722,600
Fairfax City median$722,600
Median year built1967
Built before 198066%
Mobile homes0%

Older homes and mobile homes usually take more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes. Ask about roof age, flood history and retrofits before you buy or rent.

Common questions about Fairfax

Is Fairfax safe from natural disasters?

Fairfax is in Fairfax City, which FEMA's National Risk Index rates very low overall, lower than most of the US. The biggest hazards are inland flooding, strong wind, hurricane. No place is free of risk, so check the flood map and insurance for any home you consider.

What natural disasters happen in Fairfax?

By expected yearly losses in Fairfax City, the top hazards are inland flooding (Very Low), strong wind (Low), hurricane (Low). Fairfax City has been part of 15 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events.

Does Fairfax get tornadoes?

Tornadoes are rare here. NOAA has no county tornado reports for Fairfax City since 1950.

Do I need flood insurance in Fairfax?

Standard home insurance does not cover floods. In Fairfax City, about 1.9% of homes have federal flood insurance, and FEMA rates inland flooding risk very low. Check the FEMA flood map for your address and get a quote even outside a high-risk zone.