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Caldwell County, Texas

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Relatively Low overall risk
53rd of 254highest risk in Texas
$33Mexpected losses a year
22federal declarations
1 in 71homes with flood insurance
Photo: U.S. Geological Survey, public domain

Caldwell County, Texas has a relatively low overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is higher than 80% of US counties. It ranks 53rd of 254 counties in Texas. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, tornadoes and strong wind. FEMA estimates about $33 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $721 per resident. Since 1972 it has been included in 22 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (14 major disasters). The most recent was in May 2024 (severe storms, straight-line winds, tornadoes and flooding). About 1 in 71 homes here carry federal flood insurance (231 policies). Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $7.4 million on 180 claims here, including $5.6 million for floods in 2015.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Caldwell County

$23.5 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 3 times a year.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.

Tornado

Moderate
$3.6 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 4 years.
  • Pick a shelter spot: a basement, or an inside room on the lowest floor with no windows.
  • Turn on emergency alerts on your phone and keep a weather radio.
$1.3 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once a year.
  • Secure outdoor furniture and trash bins before storms.
  • Have trees near the house checked.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
Inland floodingModerate87.1
$24M
TornadoModerate82.9
$4M
Strong windHigh85.0
$1M
HailModerate86.8
$1M
DroughtModerate85.7
$1M
Cold waveLow54.8
$898K
Heat waveLow74.1
$882K
LightningModerate63.8
$311K
HurricaneLow60.2
$172K
WildfireLow68.0
$120K
Winter weatherModerate67.3
$94K
Ice stormLow41.4
$45K
EarthquakeVery Low19.2
$21K
LandslideVery Low14.9
$48

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is relatively high and community resilience is very low in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Caldwell County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Fire6
Flood5
Severe Storm4
Hurricane4
Severe Ice Storm2
Drought1

Most recent

May 17, 2024Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
Feb 19, 2021Severe Winter StormsMajor disaster
Feb 14, 2021Severe Winter StormEmergency
Aug 25, 2017Hurricane HarveyMajor disaster
Jun 11, 2016Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Nov 25, 2015Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingMajor disaster
May 29, 2015Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds and FloodingMajor disaster
Dec 20, 2013Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Sep 9, 2011WildfiresMajor disaster
Mar 14, 2008WildfiresEmergency
Show all 22
Jan 13, 2006Lockhart FireFire management
Jan 11, 2006Extreme Wildfire ThreatMajor disaster
Sep 24, 2005Hurricane RitaMajor disaster
Sep 21, 2005Hurricane RitaEmergency
Sep 2, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
Jul 4, 2002Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Sep 10, 2000Tx-Milam Street Fire-9/9/00Fire management
Sep 1, 1999Extreme Fire HazardsEmergency
Oct 21, 1998Tx-Flooding 10/18/98Major disaster
Aug 26, 1998Tropical Storm CharleyMajor disaster
Sep 10, 1993Extreme Fire HazardEmergency
May 20, 1972Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster

Texas also had 106 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1957

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 288 storm reports in Caldwell County since 1957, with 11 deaths and 552 injuries and about $76.9 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F2 tornado on August 10, 1980.

25tornadoes
92hail reports, largest 3.5 inches
80damaging thunderstorm winds
89floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
Aug 10, 1980F2–20 / 0
Nov 12, 1961F2–0 / 0
Apr 26, 1957F2–0 / 0
Aug 4, 1961F2–3 / 0
Apr 15, 1965F2–0 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
Aug 10, 1980Tornado–$25M
Oct 17, 1998Flash FloodCountywide$20M
Jun 2, 2003Thunderstorm WindMartindale$13M
Aug 26, 2017FloodNiederwald$13M
Oct 30, 2015Flash FloodMendoza$1M
Mar 27, 1994Thunderstorm WindLockhart$550K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Jun 2, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

Hurricane risk by county ›

Since 1854, 4 hurricanes and 12 tropical storms have passed within 65 miles of the center of Caldwell County, 5 of them since 1950. The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1886, with top winds near 100 mph about 62 miles away.

4hurricanes
0major hurricanes (Category 3+)
12tropical storms
2017most recent: Harvey

Strongest storms nearby

DateStormStrengthClosest
Aug 20, 1886UnnamedCategory 2, 100 mph62 mi
Sep 12, 1961CarlaCategory 1, 90 mph55 mi
Aug 30, 1942UnnamedCategory 1, 90 mph58 mi
Sep 17, 1875UnnamedCategory 1, 75 mph61 mi
Jun 29, 1929UnnamedTropical storm, 70 mph58 mi
Sep 19, 1854UnnamedTropical storm, 70 mph64 mi

Most recent storms

DateStormStrengthClosest
Aug 26, 2017HarveyTropical storm, 60 mph62 mi
Jun 17, 2015BillTropical storm, 45 mph56 mi
Sep 6, 1973DeliaTropical storm, 45 mph62 mi
Jun 24, 1968CandyTropical storm, 60 mph49 mi
Sep 12, 1961CarlaCategory 1, 90 mph55 mi
Aug 30, 1942UnnamedCategory 1, 90 mph58 mi

Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.

Flood insurance in Caldwell County

Check your address flood zone ›
1.4%of homes have federal flood insurance (231 policies)
28.8%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$7.4 millionpaid on 180 flood claims since 1978
2015costliest year, with $5.6 million paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Caldwell County

$240,500median home value (Texas $283,800, US $332,700)
1991median year homes were built (Texas 1992, US 1980)
34%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
24.5%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 17,582 housing units.

Compare in Texas

All 254 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Harris CountyVery HighInland flooding
Dallas CountyVery HighInland flooding
Tarrant CountyHighInland flooding
Bexar CountyHighInland flooding
Travis CountyHighInland flooding
Collin CountyHighTornado
Denton CountyHighTornado
Hidalgo CountyHighHurricane

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Travis CountyHigh35
Hays CountyModerate25
Guadalupe CountyModerate21
Bastrop CountyModerate29
Fayette CountyLow22
Gonzales CountyModerate20

Cities in Caldwell County

Common questions about Caldwell County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Caldwell County?

Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Caldwell County, about $23.5 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Tornado is second at $3.6 million.

How many federal disasters has Caldwell County had?

Caldwell County has been included in 22 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1972, including 14 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding in May 2024.

Is Caldwell County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Relatively Low, 53rd highest of 254 in Texas. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Caldwell County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 71 homes in Caldwell County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Caldwell County had?

NOAA records list 25 tornadoes in Caldwell County since 1950. The strongest was an F2 tornado on August 10, 1980. The weather service has also logged 92 hail reports and 89 floods here.

How many hurricanes have hit Caldwell County?

NOAA's hurricane records show 4 hurricanes and 12 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the center of Caldwell County. The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1886, with winds near 100 mph.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.