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Bailey County, Texas

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Very Low overall risk
143rd of 254highest risk in Texas
$8Mexpected losses a year
14federal declarations
1 in 200homes with flood insurance
Photo: Aleatoric Consonance, CC BY 2.0

Bailey County, Texas has a very low overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is lower than 58% of US counties. It ranks 143rd of 254 counties in Texas. The costliest hazards here are drought, hail and cold waves. FEMA estimates about $7.8 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $1,127 per resident. Since 1992 it has been included in 14 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (9 major disasters). The most recent was in May 2024 (severe storms, straight-line winds, tornadoes and flooding). Only 12 homes here carry federal flood insurance.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Bailey County

$2.1 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 88 times a year.
  • Check local water restrictions.
  • Choose drought-tolerant plants.

Hail

High
$1.7 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 4 times a year.
  • Ask about the roof age and any impact-rated shingles.
  • Check your home policy for a separate wind and hail deductible.
$995,903 a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 2 times a year.
  • Insulate pipes in outside walls, crawl spaces and garages.
  • Know how to shut off the main water valve.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
DroughtHigh96.7
$2M
HailHigh94.9
$2M
Cold waveLow64.9
$996K
Inland floodingVery Low13.6
$973K
WildfireLow88.9
$673K
Strong windModerate71.1
$585K
TornadoLow42.4
$553K
Heat waveVery Low33.0
$93K
Winter weatherModerate66.5
$67K
LightningVery Low17.7
$35K
EarthquakeVery Low24.4
$25K
HurricaneVery Low38.3
$16K
Ice stormVery Low18.7
$8K
LandslideVery Low1.5
$1

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is very high and community resilience is very low in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Bailey County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Fire4
Severe Storm3
Severe Ice Storm3
Hurricane3
Flood1

Most recent

May 17, 2024Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
Feb 19, 2021Severe Winter StormsMajor disaster
Feb 14, 2021Severe Winter StormEmergency
Feb 9, 2016Severe Winter Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingMajor disaster
Jul 1, 2011WildfiresMajor disaster
Mar 14, 2008WildfiresEmergency
Jan 11, 2006Extreme Wildfire ThreatMajor disaster
Sep 24, 2005Hurricane RitaMajor disaster
Sep 21, 2005Hurricane RitaEmergency
Sep 2, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
Show all 14
Jan 8, 2001Severe Winter Ice StormMajor disaster
Sep 1, 1999Extreme Fire HazardsEmergency
Aug 26, 1998Tropical Storm CharleyMajor disaster
Sep 9, 1992Excessive Rain & HailMajor disaster

Texas also had 106 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1955

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 347 storm reports in Bailey County since 1955, with 0 deaths and 1 injury and about $16.9 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F3 tornado on May 10, 1991.

57tornadoes
187hail reports, largest 4.5 inches
76damaging thunderstorm winds
26floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
May 10, 1991F3–0 / 0
May 21, 1963F3–0 / 0
Jun 3, 1989F2–0 / 0
Apr 18, 1971F2–0 / 0
Jun 27, 1992F2–0 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
Sep 17, 2017HailEnochs$1M
Sep 7, 2003HailNeedmore$1M
Jun 9, 2002HailBula$1M
Jun 3, 2003HailEnochs$1M
Jul 17, 2009HailEnochs$1M
Jul 17, 2009Thunderstorm WindNeedmore$1M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Jul 24, 2025. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Flood insurance in Bailey County

Check your address flood zone ›
0.5%of homes have federal flood insurance (12 policies)
0%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$0paid on 0 flood claims since 1978
n/acostliest year

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Bailey County

$105,300median home value (Texas $283,800, US $332,700)
1969median year homes were built (Texas 1992, US 1980)
71%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
3%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 2,740 housing units.

Compare in Texas

All 254 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Harris CountyVery HighInland flooding
Dallas CountyVery HighInland flooding
Tarrant CountyHighInland flooding
Bexar CountyHighInland flooding
Travis CountyHighInland flooding
Collin CountyHighTornado
Denton CountyHighTornado
Hidalgo CountyHighHurricane

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Curry County, NMLow4
Hockley CountyLow14
Roosevelt County, NMModerate5
Lamb CountyLow14
Parmer CountyModerate13
Cochran CountyVery Low14

Common questions about Bailey County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Bailey County?

Drought has the highest expected yearly losses in Bailey County, about $2.1 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Hail is second at $1.7 million.

How many federal disasters has Bailey County had?

Bailey County has been included in 14 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1992, including 9 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding in May 2024.

Is Bailey County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Very Low, 143rd highest of 254 in Texas. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Bailey County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 200 homes in Bailey County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Bailey County had?

NOAA records list 57 tornadoes in Bailey County since 1950. The strongest was an F3 tornado on May 10, 1991. The weather service has also logged 187 hail reports and 26 floods here.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.