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Middlesex County, New Jersey

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Relatively High overall risk
2nd of 21highest risk in New Jersey
$282Mexpected losses a year
27federal declarations
1 in 83homes with flood insurance
Photo: U.S. Geological Survey, public domain

Middlesex County, New Jersey has a relatively high overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is higher than 98% of US counties. It ranks 2nd of 21 counties in New Jersey. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, earthquakes and strong wind. FEMA estimates about $282 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $327 per resident. Since 1965 it has been included in 27 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (18 major disasters). The most recent was in September 2021 (remnants of hurricane ida). About 1 in 83 homes here carry federal flood insurance (2,496 policies). Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $164 million on 5,251 claims here, including $53 million for floods in 2012.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Middlesex County

$197 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 3 times a year.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.

Earthquake

Moderate
$20.3 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 495 years.
  • Ask whether an older house is bolted to its foundation.
  • Consider separate earthquake insurance where risk is high.

Strong wind

Very High
$14.4 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 7 times a year.
  • Secure outdoor furniture and trash bins before storms.
  • Have trees near the house checked.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
Inland floodingHigh98.9
$197M
EarthquakeModerate96.2
$20M
Strong windVery High99.7
$14M
HurricaneModerate92.6
$12M
TornadoHigh94.5
$10M
Cold waveHigh94.3
$10M
Heat waveModerate96.5
$8M
Ice stormVery High99.2
$4M
Coastal floodingHigh83.6
$3M
Winter weatherVery High99.6
$2M
LightningModerate81.9
$743K
DroughtModerate75.0
$655K
WildfireLow79.7
$376K
HailLow42.3
$181K
LandslideLow73.3
$8K

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is relatively moderate and community resilience is relatively moderate in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Middlesex County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Hurricane9
Flood5
Severe Storm5
Snowstorm4
Drought2
Severe Ice Storm1

Most recent

Sep 5, 2021Remnants of Hurricane IdaMajor disaster
Sep 2, 2021Remnants of Hurricane IdaEmergency
Mar 14, 2016Severe Winter Storm and SnowstormMajor disaster
Oct 30, 2012Hurricane SandyMajor disaster
Oct 28, 2012Hurricane SandyEmergency
Nov 30, 2011Severe StormMajor disaster
Aug 31, 2011Hurricane IreneMajor disaster
Aug 27, 2011Hurricane IreneEmergency
Feb 4, 2011Severe Winter Storm and SnowstormMajor disaster
Apr 2, 2010Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Show all 27
Apr 26, 2007Severe Storms and Inland and Coastal FloodingMajor disaster
Sep 19, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
Mar 20, 2003SnowEmergency
Sep 19, 2001Fires and ExplosionsEmergency
Sep 18, 1999Hurricane Floyd Major Disaster DeclarationsMajor disaster
Sep 17, 1999Hurricane Floyd Emergency DeclarationsEmergency
Nov 19, 1996Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Jan 13, 1996Blizzard of 96 (Severe Snow Storm)Major disaster
Mar 17, 1993Severe BlizzardEmergency
Dec 18, 1992Coastal Storm, High Tides, Heavy Rain, & FloodingMajor disaster
Oct 19, 1980Water ShortageEmergency
Feb 8, 1977Ice ConditionsMajor disaster
Jul 23, 1975Heavy Rains, High Winds, Hail & TornadoesMajor disaster
Aug 7, 1973Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Sep 4, 1971Heavy Rains & FloodingMajor disaster
Jun 18, 1968Heavy Rains & FloodingMajor disaster
Aug 18, 1965Water ShortageMajor disaster

New Jersey also had 3 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1955

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 638 storm reports in Middlesex County since 1955, with 6 deaths and 99 injuries and about $146 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F1 tornado on October 5, 1985.

8tornadoes
62hail reports, largest 1.75 inches
280damaging thunderstorm winds
174floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
Oct 5, 1985F1–8 / 0
Jul 31, 1992F1–0 / 0
Sep 8, 1996F0East Brunswick0 / 0
Jul 14, 1987F0–0 / 0
Nov 16, 1989F0–0 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
Sep 1, 2021Flash FloodMiddlesex$50M
Aug 28, 2011FloodCaretet$50M
Sep 16, 1999Flash FloodCountywide$28M
Jul 17, 2005Flash FloodSoutheast Portion$10M
Oct 19, 1996Flash FloodCountywide$3M
Sep 7, 1998Thunderstorm WindCountywide$2M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Jul 28, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

Hurricane risk by county ›

Since 1861, 6 hurricanes and 22 tropical storms have passed within 65 miles of the center of Middlesex County, 16 of them since 1950. The strongest was Hurricane Donna (1960), with top winds near 100 mph about 63 miles away.

6hurricanes
0major hurricanes (Category 3+)
22tropical storms
2021most recent: Elsa

Strongest storms nearby

DateStormStrengthClosest
Sep 12, 1960DonnaCategory 2, 100 mph63 mi
Sep 27, 1985GloriaCategory 1, 90 mph54 mi
Aug 24, 1893UnnamedCategory 1, 90 mph61 mi
Oct 10, 1894UnnamedCategory 1, 85 mph65 mi
Aug 10, 1976BelleCategory 1, 80 mph61 mi
Sep 16, 1903UnnamedCategory 1, 75 mph59 mi

Most recent storms

DateStormStrengthClosest
Jul 9, 2021ElsaTropical storm, 60 mph60 mi
Aug 4, 2020IsaiasTropical storm, 65 mph52 mi
Jul 10, 2020FayTropical storm, 50 mph63 mi
Aug 28, 2011IreneTropical storm, 70 mph62 mi
Sep 6, 2008HannaTropical storm, 50 mph61 mi
Sep 16, 1999FloydTropical storm, 60 mph51 mi

Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.

Flood insurance in Middlesex County

Check your address flood zone ›
1.2%of homes have federal flood insurance (2,496 policies)
53.5%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$164 millionpaid on 5,251 flood claims since 1978
2012costliest year, with $53.5 million paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Middlesex County

$462,900median home value (New Jersey $454,400, US $332,700)
1974median year homes were built (New Jersey 1970, US 1980)
57%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
0.8%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 317,979 housing units.

Compare in New Jersey

All 21 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Bergen CountyHighInland flooding
Essex CountyHighInland flooding
Middlesex CountyHighInland flooding
Hudson CountyHighInland flooding
Monmouth CountyHighInland flooding
Ocean CountyHighInland flooding
Union CountyHighInland flooding
Passaic CountyHighInland flooding

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Monmouth CountyHigh25
Union CountyHigh26
Richmond County, NYModerate21
Mercer CountyHigh25
Somerset CountyModerate27

Common questions about Middlesex County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Middlesex County?

Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Middlesex County, about $197 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Earthquake is second at $20.3 million.

How many federal disasters has Middlesex County had?

Middlesex County has been included in 27 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1965, including 18 major disasters. The most recent was Remnants of Hurricane Ida in September 2021.

Is Middlesex County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Relatively High, 2nd highest of 21 in New Jersey. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Middlesex County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 83 homes in Middlesex County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Middlesex County had?

NOAA records list 8 tornadoes in Middlesex County since 1950. The strongest was an F1 tornado on October 5, 1985. The weather service has also logged 62 hail reports and 174 floods here.

How many hurricanes have hit Middlesex County?

NOAA's hurricane records show 6 hurricanes and 22 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the center of Middlesex County. The strongest was Hurricane Donna (1960), with winds near 100 mph.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.