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Caroline County, Maryland

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Relatively Low overall risk
17th of 24highest risk in Maryland
$13Mexpected losses a year
19federal declarations
1 in 91homes with flood insurance
Photo: CC0

Caroline County, Maryland has a relatively low overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is lower than 54% of US counties. It ranks 17th of 24 counties in Maryland. The costliest hazards here are hurricanes, inland flooding and drought. FEMA estimates about $13 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $377 per resident. Since 1972 it has been included in 19 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (13 major disasters). The most recent was in January 2026 (severe winter storm). About 1 in 91 homes here carry federal flood insurance (158 policies). Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $1.4 million on 77 claims here, including $786,000 for floods in 2011.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Caroline County

Hurricane

Moderate
$4.8 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 8 years.
  • Know your evacuation zone and route before June 1.
  • Ask about roof age, shutters and the separate wind or hurricane deductible on your home policy.
$2.7 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once a year.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.
$1.7 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 4 times a year.
  • Check local water restrictions.
  • Choose drought-tolerant plants.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
HurricaneModerate88.2
$5M
Inland floodingVery Low26.6
$3M
DroughtHigh92.7
$2M
Cold waveLow48.9
$787K
Strong windModerate66.8
$765K
Heat waveLow57.7
$459K
TornadoVery Low24.1
$295K
EarthquakeVery Low52.8
$275K
Coastal floodingLow53.4
$198K
LightningLow43.2
$160K
HailLow34.6
$125K
WildfireLow63.7
$97K
Winter weatherModerate63.9
$90K
Ice stormLow38.3
$42K
LandslideVery Low15.8
$60

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is relatively moderate and community resilience is relatively moderate in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Caroline County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Snowstorm7
Hurricane7
Severe Storm3
Flood1
Winter Storm1

Most recent

Jan 24, 2026Severe Winter StormEmergency
Mar 4, 2016Severe Winter Storm and SnowstormMajor disaster
Nov 20, 2012Hurricane SandyMajor disaster
Oct 28, 2012Hurricane SandyEmergency
Sep 16, 2011Hurricane IreneMajor disaster
Aug 27, 2011Hurricane IreneEmergency
May 6, 2010Severe Winter Storms and SnowstormsMajor disaster
Feb 19, 2010Severe Winter Storm and SnowstormMajor disaster
Jul 2, 2006Severe Storms, Flooding, and TornadoesMajor disaster
Sep 13, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
Show all 19
Sep 19, 2003Hurricane IsabelMajor disaster
Mar 14, 2003SnowEmergency
Apr 10, 2000Severe Winter StormMajor disaster
Sep 24, 1999Hurricane Floyd Major Disaster DeclarationsMajor disaster
Jan 11, 1996Blizzard of 96 (Severe Snow Storm)Major disaster
Mar 16, 1994Severe Winter Weather and Ice StormsMajor disaster
Mar 16, 1993Severe Snowfall & Winter StormEmergency
Jan 26, 1977Ice ConditionsMajor disaster
Jun 23, 1972Tropical Storm AgnesMajor disaster

Maryland also had 1 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1952

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 273 storm reports in Caroline County since 1952, with 1 death and 4 injuries and about $10.3 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F1 tornado on April 18, 1978.

8tornadoes
16hail reports, largest 2.75 inches
171damaging thunderstorm winds
28floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
Apr 18, 1978F1–0 / 0
Jul 31, 1992F1–0 / 0
Mar 16, 2026EF1Downes0 / 0
Jun 4, 2008EF0Bethlehem1 / 0
Jul 14, 1990F0–0 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
Jun 25, 2006Flash FloodSouth Portion$5M
Sep 16, 1999Flash FloodCountywide$3M
Oct 29, 2012FloodChoptank$800K
Jun 4, 2008TornadoBethlehem$300K
Aug 28, 2011FloodDessard$250K
Jun 4, 2008Thunderstorm WindPreston$200K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Jul 28, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

Hurricane risk by county ›

Since 1856, 2 hurricanes and 24 tropical storms have passed within 65 miles of the center of Caroline County, 12 of them since 1950. The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1903, with top winds near 85 mph about 63 miles away.

2hurricanes
0major hurricanes (Category 3+)
24tropical storms
2021most recent: Elsa

Strongest storms nearby

DateStormStrengthClosest
Sep 16, 1903UnnamedCategory 1, 85 mph63 mi
Aug 28, 2011IreneCategory 1, 75 mph63 mi
Jul 13, 1996BerthaTropical storm, 70 mph62 mi
Aug 28, 1971DoriaTropical storm, 70 mph65 mi
Sep 27, 1861UnnamedTropical storm, 70 mph41 mi
Aug 4, 2020IsaiasTropical storm, 70 mph58 mi

Most recent storms

DateStormStrengthClosest
Jul 9, 2021ElsaTropical storm, 60 mph37 mi
Aug 4, 2020IsaiasTropical storm, 70 mph58 mi
Aug 28, 2011IreneCategory 1, 75 mph63 mi
Sep 6, 2008HannaTropical storm, 50 mph56 mi
Sep 16, 1999FloydTropical storm, 65 mph54 mi
Jul 13, 1996BerthaTropical storm, 70 mph62 mi

Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.

Flood insurance in Caroline County

Check your address flood zone ›
1.1%of homes have federal flood insurance (158 policies)
37.7%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$1.4 millionpaid on 77 flood claims since 1978
2011costliest year, with $786,491 paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Caroline County

$290,100median home value (Maryland $419,900, US $332,700)
1981median year homes were built (Maryland 1979, US 1980)
48%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
7.4%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 13,531 housing units.

Compare in Maryland

All 24 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Montgomery CountyModerateInland flooding
Prince George's CountyModerateInland flooding
Baltimore CountyModerateInland flooding
Anne Arundel CountyModerateInland flooding
Baltimore CityHighInland flooding
Howard CountyLowInland flooding
Frederick CountyLowInland flooding
Harford CountyLowInland flooding

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Sussex County, DEModerate18
Kent County, DEModerate15
Queen Anne's CountyVery Low16
Talbot CountyVery Low18
Dorchester CountyLow18

Common questions about Caroline County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Caroline County?

Hurricane has the highest expected yearly losses in Caroline County, about $4.8 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Inland flooding is second at $2.7 million.

How many federal disasters has Caroline County had?

Caroline County has been included in 19 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1972, including 13 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm in January 2026.

Is Caroline County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Relatively Low, 17th highest of 24 in Maryland. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Caroline County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 91 homes in Caroline County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Caroline County had?

NOAA records list 8 tornadoes in Caroline County since 1950. The strongest was an F1 tornado on April 18, 1978. The weather service has also logged 16 hail reports and 28 floods here.

How many hurricanes have hit Caroline County?

NOAA's hurricane records show 2 hurricanes and 24 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the center of Caroline County. The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1903, with winds near 85 mph.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.