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Winnebago County, Illinois

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Relatively Moderate overall risk
8th of 102highest risk in Illinois
$122Mexpected losses a year
17federal declarations
1 in 167homes with flood insurance
Photo: vxla, CC BY 2.0

Winnebago County, Illinois has a moderate overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is higher than 92% of US counties. It ranks 8th of 102 counties in Illinois. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, cold waves and tornadoes. FEMA estimates about $122 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $426 per resident. Since 1967 it has been included in 17 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (11 major disasters). The most recent was in September 2024 (severe storms, tornadoes, straight-line winds and floodng). Fewer than 1 in 100 homes here carry federal flood insurance (585 policies). Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $27 million on 1,729 claims here, including $9.2 million for floods in 2008.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Winnebago County

$67.8 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 2 times a year.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.
$20 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 6 times a year.
  • Insulate pipes in outside walls, crawl spaces and garages.
  • Know how to shut off the main water valve.
$19.2 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 2 years.
  • Pick a shelter spot: a basement, or an inside room on the lowest floor with no windows.
  • Turn on emergency alerts on your phone and keep a weather radio.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
Inland floodingHigh94.4
$68M
Cold waveHigh97.8
$20M
TornadoHigh97.3
$19M
Strong windHigh97.3
$4M
HailHigh97.1
$4M
Heat waveModerate85.3
$2M
EarthquakeLow80.0
$2M
LightningHigh89.2
$1M
Ice stormHigh85.2
$615K
Winter weatherModerate84.9
$275K
DroughtLow57.9
$246K
WildfireVery Low32.7
$17K
HurricaneVery Low20.0
$6K
LandslideVery Low50.7
$1K

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is relatively low and community resilience is relatively high in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Winnebago County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Snowstorm6
Flood5
Severe Storm4
Tornado1
Hurricane1

Most recent

Sep 20, 2024Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodngMajor disaster
May 10, 2013Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingMajor disaster
Mar 17, 2011Severe Winter Storm and SnowstormMajor disaster
Aug 19, 2010Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Jun 24, 2008Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Mar 13, 2008Record Snow and Near Record SnowEmergency
Aug 30, 2007Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Dec 29, 2006SnowEmergency
Sep 7, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
Jan 17, 2001Illinois Winter Snow StormsEmergency
Show all 17
Jan 8, 1999Il-Winter Storm 1/1/99Emergency
Jul 25, 1996Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Jul 9, 1993Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Jan 16, 1979Blizzards & SnowstormsEmergency
Jun 10, 1974Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Apr 26, 1973Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Apr 25, 1967TornadoesMajor disaster

Illinois also had 2 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1958

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 690 storm reports in Winnebago County since 1958, with 3 deaths and 15 injuries and about $40.5 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an EF2 tornado on November 22, 2010 near Rock Cut State Park.

25tornadoes
215hail reports, largest 3 inches
344damaging thunderstorm winds
83floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
Nov 22, 2010EF2Rock Cut State Park6 / 0
Aug 17, 1979F2–0 / 0
Aug 30, 1958F2–0 / 0
May 22, 2011EF1Seward0 / 0
Aug 28, 1990F1–0 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
Sep 4, 2006Flash FloodRockford$20M
Jun 10, 2008FloodRoscoe$6M
Jul 5, 2003Thunderstorm WindPecatonica$5M
Aug 7, 2007FloodWinnebago$2M
Jul 13, 2024Flash FloodWoodcrest$2M
Aug 7, 2007Flash FloodRockford$1M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Jul 3, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Flood insurance in Winnebago County

Check your address flood zone ›
0.6%of homes have federal flood insurance (585 policies)
25.2%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$27.3 millionpaid on 1,729 flood claims since 1978
2008costliest year, with $9.2 million paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Winnebago County

$164,500median home value (Illinois $263,300, US $332,700)
1971median year homes were built (Illinois 1971, US 1980)
63%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
1.3%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 125,002 housing units.

Compare in Illinois

All 102 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Cook CountyVery HighInland flooding
DuPage CountyHighInland flooding
Lake CountyHighInland flooding
Will CountyHighInland flooding
Kane CountyHighInland flooding
McHenry CountyModerateInland flooding
Winnebago CountyModerateInland flooding
Madison CountyModerateInland flooding

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Rock County, WIModerate14
DeKalb CountyLow10
Boone CountyLow9
Ogle CountyLow12
Stephenson CountyLow12
Green County, WILow15

Cities in Winnebago County

Common questions about Winnebago County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Winnebago County?

Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Winnebago County, about $67.8 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Cold wave is second at $20 million.

How many federal disasters has Winnebago County had?

Winnebago County has been included in 17 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1967, including 11 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Floodng in September 2024.

Is Winnebago County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Relatively Moderate, 8th highest of 102 in Illinois. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Winnebago County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 167 homes in Winnebago County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Winnebago County had?

NOAA records list 25 tornadoes in Winnebago County since 1950. The strongest was an EF2 tornado on November 22, 2010 near Rock Cut State Park. The weather service has also logged 215 hail reports and 83 floods here.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.