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San Francisco County, California

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Very High overall risk
8th of 58highest risk in California
$853Mexpected losses a year
9federal declarations
1 in 1000homes with flood insurance
Photo: Håkan Dahlström, CC BY 2.0

San Francisco County, California has a very high overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is in the top 1% of US counties. It ranks 8th of 58 counties in California. The costliest hazards here are earthquakes, inland flooding and tsunamis. FEMA estimates about $853 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $977 per resident. Since 1989 it has been included in 9 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (6 major disasters). The most recent was in April 2023 (severe winter storms, straight-line winds, flooding, landslides and mudslides). Fewer than 1 in 100 homes here carry federal flood insurance (204 policies). Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $2.9 million on 147 claims here, including $1.2 million for floods in 1982.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in San Francisco County

Earthquake

Very High
$662 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 10 years.
  • Ask whether an older house is bolted to its foundation.
  • Consider separate earthquake insurance where risk is high.
$178 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 2 times a year.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.

Tsunami

Moderate
$6 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 3 years.
  • Learn the tsunami evacuation route signs.
  • If you feel a strong quake near the coast, move to high ground right away.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
EarthquakeVery High99.8
$662M
Inland floodingHigh98.6
$178M
TsunamiModerate72.3
$6M
Heat waveModerate93.9
$5M
LandslideHigh98.4
$829K
TornadoLow34.9
$652K
Coastal floodingModerate62.0
$638K
DroughtModerate69.3
$488K
LightningLow29.9
$104K
Strong windVery Low10.3
$74K
HailVery Low18.1
$62K
WildfireVery Low28.7
$13K
Volcanic activityVery Low28.3
$1
Winter weatherVery Low1.2
$0

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is relatively moderate and community resilience is very high in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included San Francisco County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Severe Storm4
Flood3
Earthquake1
Hurricane1

Most recent

Apr 3, 2023Severe Winter Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, and MudslidesMajor disaster
Mar 10, 2023Severe Winter Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and MudslidesEmergency
Jan 14, 2023Severe Winter Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and MudslidesMajor disaster
Jan 9, 2023Severe Winter Storms, Flooding, and MudslidesEmergency
Sep 13, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
Feb 9, 1998Severe Winter Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Jan 4, 1997Severe Storms, Flooding, Mud and LandslidesMajor disaster
Mar 12, 1995Severe Winter Storms, Flooding Landslides, Mud FlowMajor disaster
Oct 18, 1989Loma Prieta EarthquakeMajor disaster

California also had 35 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1982

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 137 storm reports in San Francisco County since 1982, with 2 deaths and 4 injuries and about $145,790 in reported damage. No tornadoes are on record here.

0tornadoes
10hail reports, largest 0.5 inches
6damaging thunderstorm winds
98floods and flash floods

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
Sep 12, 2009LightningSan Francisco$120K
Oct 13, 2009FloodOcean View$10K
Feb 17, 2011Heavy RainCrissy Aaf$10K
Dec 2, 2012FloodSan Francisco$5K
Dec 2, 2012FloodOcean View$500
Dec 2, 2012FloodSan Francisco$100

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Dec 25, 2025. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Flood insurance in San Francisco County

Check your address flood zone ›
0.1%of homes have federal flood insurance (204 policies)
0%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$2.9 millionpaid on 147 flood claims since 1978
1982costliest year, with $1.2 million paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in San Francisco County

$1.4 millionmedian home value (California $734,700, US $332,700)
1946median year homes were built (California 1976, US 1980)
77%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
0.1%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 414,602 housing units.

Compare in California

All 58 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Los Angeles CountyVery HighEarthquake
San Diego CountyVery HighInland flooding
Orange CountyVery HighEarthquake
Riverside CountyVery HighInland flooding
San Bernardino CountyVery HighInland flooding
Santa Clara CountyVery HighEarthquake
Alameda CountyVery HighEarthquake
Sacramento CountyHighInland flooding

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Alameda CountyVery High22
Contra Costa CountyVery High19
San Mateo CountyHigh22
Marin CountyHigh24

Cities in San Francisco County

Common questions about San Francisco County

What is the biggest natural hazard in San Francisco County?

Earthquake has the highest expected yearly losses in San Francisco County, about $662 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Inland flooding is second at $178 million.

How many federal disasters has San Francisco County had?

San Francisco County has been included in 9 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1989, including 6 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Winter Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides in April 2023.

Is San Francisco County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Very High, 8th highest of 58 in California. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in San Francisco County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 1000 homes in San Francisco County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has San Francisco County had?

NOAA records list 0 tornadoes in San Francisco County since 1950. The weather service has also logged 10 hail reports and 98 floods here.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.