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Karnes County, Texas

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Relatively Low overall risk
114th of 254highest risk in Texas
$12Mexpected losses a year
14federal declarations
1 in 250homes with flood insurance
Photo: U.S. Geological Survey, public domain

Karnes County, Texas has a relatively low overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is higher than 58% of US counties. It ranks 114th of 254 counties in Texas. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, hurricanes and tornadoes. FEMA estimates about $12 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $818 per resident. Since 1967 it has been included in 14 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (9 major disasters). The most recent was in February 2021 (severe winter storms). Only 28 homes here carry federal flood insurance. Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $105,000 on 15 claims here.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Karnes County

$6.1 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 3 times a year.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.

Hurricane

Moderate
$2.3 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 10 years.
  • Know your evacuation zone and route before June 1.
  • Ask about roof age, shutters and the separate wind or hurricane deductible on your home policy.
$1.1 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 3 years.
  • Pick a shelter spot: a basement, or an inside room on the lowest floor with no windows.
  • Turn on emergency alerts on your phone and keep a weather radio.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
Inland floodingLow63.8
$6M
HurricaneModerate85.1
$2M
TornadoLow61.3
$1M
DroughtModerate87.0
$811K
Cold waveLow46.6
$495K
HailModerate75.9
$428K
Heat waveLow62.2
$381K
Strong windLow27.5
$158K
LightningLow42.8
$107K
WildfireVery Low59.2
$47K
Ice stormLow27.1
$16K
Winter weatherLow27.2
$15K
EarthquakeVery Low11.7
$7K
LandslideVery Low11.1
$20

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is very high and community resilience is relatively low in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Karnes County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Hurricane6
Flood2
Fire2
Severe Ice Storm2
Drought1
Severe Storm1

Most recent

Feb 19, 2021Severe Winter StormsMajor disaster
Feb 14, 2021Severe Winter StormEmergency
Aug 25, 2017Hurricane HarveyMajor disaster
Mar 14, 2008WildfiresEmergency
Jan 11, 2006Extreme Wildfire ThreatMajor disaster
Sep 24, 2005Hurricane RitaMajor disaster
Sep 21, 2005Hurricane RitaEmergency
Sep 2, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
Jul 17, 2003Hurricane ClaudetteMajor disaster
Jul 4, 2002Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Show all 14
Oct 21, 1998Tx-Flooding 10/18/98Major disaster
Aug 26, 1998Tropical Storm CharleyMajor disaster
Sep 10, 1993Extreme Fire HazardEmergency
Sep 28, 1967Hurricane BeulahMajor disaster

Texas also had 106 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1955

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 176 storm reports in Karnes County since 1955, with 0 deaths and 123 injuries and about $2.4 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F3 tornado on April 25, 1966.

22tornadoes
44hail reports, largest 2.75 inches
30damaging thunderstorm winds
80floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
Apr 25, 1966F3–3 / 0
Oct 15, 1960F2–0 / 0
May 8, 1967F2–0 / 0
Nov 15, 2001F1Karnes City0 / 0
Aug 9, 1980F1–0 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
Oct 18, 1998Flash FloodCountywide$400K
Apr 25, 1966Tornado–$250K
Oct 18, 1998Flash FloodCountywide$200K
Aug 30, 2001Flash FloodCountywide$200K
Aug 16, 2007Flash FloodHelena$200K
Nov 15, 2001TornadoKarnes City$150K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through May 1, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

Hurricane risk by county ›

Since 1851, 13 hurricanes and 14 tropical storms have passed within 65 miles of the center of Karnes County, 13 of them since 1950. The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1886, with top winds near 130 mph about 53 miles away.

13hurricanes
3major hurricanes (Category 3+)
14tropical storms
2020most recent: Beta

Strongest storms nearby

DateStormStrengthClosest
Aug 20, 1886UnnamedCategory 4, 130 mph53 mi
Aug 3, 1970CeliaCategory 3, 115 mph60 mi
Aug 26, 2017HarveyCategory 3, 115 mph61 mi
Sep 12, 1961CarlaCategory 2, 110 mph65 mi
Aug 30, 1942UnnamedCategory 2, 105 mph63 mi
Sep 17, 1875UnnamedCategory 2, 100 mph63 mi

Most recent storms

DateStormStrengthClosest
Sep 22, 2020BetaTropical storm, 40 mph64 mi
Aug 26, 2017HarveyCategory 3, 115 mph61 mi
Jun 16, 2015BillTropical storm, 50 mph62 mi
Sep 7, 2010HermineTropical storm, 50 mph51 mi
Jul 15, 2003ClaudetteCategory 1, 80 mph62 mi
Sep 11, 1998FrancesTropical storm, 50 mph62 mi

Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.

Flood insurance in Karnes County

Check your address flood zone ›
0.4%of homes have federal flood insurance (28 policies)
3.2%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$104,656paid on 15 flood claims since 1978
2002costliest year, with $69,329 paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Karnes County

$149,000median home value (Texas $283,800, US $332,700)
1988median year homes were built (Texas 1992, US 1980)
40%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
15.4%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 5,975 housing units.

Compare in Texas

All 254 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Harris CountyVery HighInland flooding
Dallas CountyVery HighInland flooding
Tarrant CountyHighInland flooding
Bexar CountyHighInland flooding
Travis CountyHighInland flooding
Collin CountyHighTornado
Denton CountyHighTornado
Hidalgo CountyHighHurricane

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Wilson CountyLow16
Atascosa CountyLow19
Bee CountyLow21
DeWitt CountyModerate20
Gonzales CountyModerate20
Live Oak CountyVery Low22
Goliad CountyVery Low19

Common questions about Karnes County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Karnes County?

Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Karnes County, about $6.1 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Hurricane is second at $2.3 million.

How many federal disasters has Karnes County had?

Karnes County has been included in 14 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1967, including 9 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Winter Storms in February 2021.

Is Karnes County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Relatively Low, 114th highest of 254 in Texas. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Karnes County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 250 homes in Karnes County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Karnes County had?

NOAA records list 22 tornadoes in Karnes County since 1950. The strongest was an F3 tornado on April 25, 1966. The weather service has also logged 44 hail reports and 80 floods here.

How many hurricanes have hit Karnes County?

NOAA's hurricane records show 13 hurricanes and 14 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the center of Karnes County, including 3 major hurricanes (Category 3 or stronger). The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1886, with winds near 130 mph.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.