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Prosper, Texas: natural disaster risk

How exposed Prosper is to floods, storms and other hazards, from FEMA and NOAA records for Collin County.

Relatively High overall risk
37,869people
Tornadotop hazard
17federal declarations, Collin County
55tornadoes in the county since 1950
Photo: Jackilometresan, CC0

Prosper is a city of 37,869 people in Collin County, Texas. Parts of Prosper also reach into Denton County. FEMA's National Risk Index rates Collin County relatively high for natural hazards overall, higher than most of the US. The costliest hazards there are tornado, inland flooding and hail, with about $716 million in expected losses a year across the county. The weather service has logged 1,307 storm reports in the county since 1954, including 55 tornadoes and 108 floods. NOAA hurricane records show 0 hurricanes and 3 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the county's center. About 0.5% of homes in the county carry federal flood insurance.

Risk figures are for Collin County, the county with most of the population Prosper sits in. FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; NOAA Storm Events; US Census Bureau ACS 2020 to 2024. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Prosper

Full Collin County report ›

Tornado

Very High
$420 million a year in the county
  • Pick a shelter spot: a basement, or an inside room on the lowest floor with no windows.
  • Turn on emergency alerts on your phone and keep a weather radio.
$153 million a year in the county
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.

Hail

Very High
$96.5 million a year in the county
  • Ask about the roof age and any impact-rated shingles.
  • Check your home policy for a separate wind and hail deductible.

All hazards

HazardRatingA year
TornadoVery High$420M
Inland floodingHigh$153M
HailVery High$97M
Cold waveHigh$19M
Heat waveHigh$18M
EarthquakeLow$3M
Strong windHigh$3M
Ice stormHigh$2M
LightningModerate$650K
WildfireLow$635K
Winter weatherHigh$625K
HurricaneLow$292K

Homes in Prosper

Median home value$823,700
Collin County median$475,600
Median year built2014
Built before 19801%
Mobile homes0.7%

Older homes and mobile homes usually take more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes. Ask about roof age, flood history and retrofits before you buy or rent.

Strongest tornadoes in Collin County

2006F3 near Anna2 killed
2024EF3 near Celina
1957F32 hurt

Common questions about Prosper

Is Prosper safe from natural disasters?

Prosper is in Collin County, which FEMA's National Risk Index rates relatively high overall, higher than most of the US. The biggest hazards are tornado, inland flooding, hail. No place is free of risk, so check the flood map and insurance for any home you consider.

What natural disasters happen in Prosper?

By expected yearly losses in Collin County, the top hazards are tornado (Very High), inland flooding (High), hail (Very High). Collin County has been part of 17 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events.

Does Prosper get tornadoes?

Yes. NOAA records list 55 tornadoes in Collin County since 1950; the strongest was an F3 tornado on May 9, 2006 near Anna. FEMA rates tornado risk in the county very high.

Do I need flood insurance in Prosper?

Standard home insurance does not cover floods. In Collin County, about 0.5% of homes have federal flood insurance, and FEMA rates inland flooding risk high. Check the FEMA flood map for your address and get a quote even outside a high-risk zone.