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Wesley Chapel, Florida: natural disaster risk

How exposed Wesley Chapel is to floods, storms and other hazards, from FEMA and NOAA records for Pasco County.

Relatively High overall risk
76,011people
Hurricanetop hazard
42federal declarations, Pasco County
98tornadoes in the county since 1950
28hurricanes within 65 miles since 1852
Photo: CC0

Wesley Chapel is a community of 76,011 people in Pasco County, Florida. FEMA's National Risk Index rates Pasco County relatively high for natural hazards overall, higher than most of the US. The costliest hazards there are hurricane, inland flooding and tornado, with about $199 million in expected losses a year across the county. The weather service has logged 570 storm reports in the county since 1956, including 98 tornadoes and 55 floods. NOAA hurricane records show 28 hurricanes and 39 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the county's center, 5 of them major. About 10.3% of homes in the county carry federal flood insurance.

Risk figures are for Pasco County. FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; NOAA Storm Events; US Census Bureau ACS 2020 to 2024. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Wesley Chapel

Full Pasco County report ›

Hurricane

Very High
$77.7 million a year in the county
  • Know your evacuation zone and route before June 1.
  • Ask about roof age, shutters and the separate wind or hurricane deductible on your home policy.
$75.8 million a year in the county
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.
$27.5 million a year in the county
  • Pick a shelter spot: a basement, or an inside room on the lowest floor with no windows.
  • Turn on emergency alerts on your phone and keep a weather radio.

All hazards

HazardRatingA year
HurricaneVery High$78M
Inland floodingHigh$76M
TornadoHigh$28M
Coastal floodingHigh$6M
WildfireModerate$4M
Heat waveModerate$3M
LightningVery High$2M
Cold waveLow$1M
Strong windModerate$1M
EarthquakeVery Low$203K
HailVery Low$116K
DroughtVery Low$3K

Homes in Wesley Chapel

Median home value$403,700
Pasco County median$300,900
Median year built2006
Built before 19804%
Mobile homes5.7%

Older homes and mobile homes usually take more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes. Ask about roof age, flood history and retrofits before you buy or rent.

Strongest tornadoes in Pasco County

2006F2 near Pasco2 hurt
1968F24 hurt
1959F212 hurt

Common questions about Wesley Chapel

Is Wesley Chapel safe from natural disasters?

Wesley Chapel is in Pasco County, which FEMA's National Risk Index rates relatively high overall, higher than most of the US. The biggest hazards are hurricane, inland flooding, tornado. No place is free of risk, so check the flood map and insurance for any home you consider.

What natural disasters happen in Wesley Chapel?

By expected yearly losses in Pasco County, the top hazards are hurricane (Very High), inland flooding (High), tornado (High). Pasco County has been part of 42 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events.

Does Wesley Chapel get tornadoes?

Yes. NOAA records list 98 tornadoes in Pasco County since 1950; the strongest was an F2 tornado on December 25, 2006 near Pasco. FEMA rates tornado risk in the county high.

Do I need flood insurance in Wesley Chapel?

Standard home insurance does not cover floods. In Pasco County, about 10.3% of homes have federal flood insurance, and FEMA rates inland flooding risk high. Check the FEMA flood map for your address and get a quote even outside a high-risk zone.